Serie B · 2023/24
2024-04-20 · 13:00
11.9947.0%
X3.4227.4%
23.6625.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brescia
LWWLDWDWDW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Ternana
WWLLLWWLLW
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.60
1.10
Conceded
1.80
40%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.20
1.20
2H goals
2.20
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

3.80N=10
For
4.80N=10
5.20
Against
6.20
9.00
Total
11.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.60
1.10
Goals conceded
1.80
2.70
Total goals
3.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Brescia attack

1.60goals per match
Ternana conceded1.80
Matchup

Ternana attack

1.60goals per match
Brescia conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.20
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
5.20
Corners against
6.20
9.00
Match total
11.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.50
Match total
3.90
90%9/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.10N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
26.80
Match total
24.90

Shots

12.70N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
3.80
On target
4.00
13%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches678
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.0%47.3%+0.3 pp
Draw27.4%27.6%+0.2 pp
Away25.6%25.1%-0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.548.8%
Over 3.526.1%
BTTS52.4%

Historical average

1.531.05

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.1%
1-011.2%
2-19.9%
2-08.4%
0-18.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.554.50
Average total10.05

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=678.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.7%
Over 9.551.2%
Over 10.541.4%
Over 11.531.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches229
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT40.2%34.0%–46.6% CI
Draw FT36.2%30.3%–42.7% CI
Away FT23.6%18.5%–29.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.0%
2+ goals39.3%
3+ goals16.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.0%
Away44.1%