Serie B · 2023/24
2024-04-20 · 13:00
12.5536.8%
X2.9931.4%
22.9531.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bari
LWDWLWWDLL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Pisa
WLLDWDLWLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.40
1.20
Conceded
1.80
50%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
80%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.00
1.50
2H goals
2.20
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.70
Against
3.00
11.00
Total
7.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.40
1.20
Goals conceded
1.80
2.30
Total goals
3.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Bari attack

1.10goals per match
Pisa conceded1.80
Matchup

Pisa attack

1.40goals per match
Bari conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.00
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.70
Corners against
3.00
11.00
Match total
7.30
90%9/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.10N=10
For
2.80N=10
5.60
Match total
6.20
90%9/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

13.20N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
26.10
Match total
24.70

Shots

13.20N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
3.70
On target
3.70
8%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches487
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.8%31.4%-5.4 pp
Draw31.4%36.8%+5.4 pp
Away31.8%31.8%+0.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.9%
Over 2.537.6%
Over 3.518.3%
BTTS49.1%

Historical average

1.081.10

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.2%
0-013.3%
0-111.1%
1-010.7%
2-18.2%

Comparable corner averages

4.804.32
Average total9.13

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=487.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.554.6%
Over 9.545.0%
Over 10.532.9%
Over 11.522.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches181
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT27.1%21.1%–34.0% CI
Draw FT49.2%42.0%–56.4% CI
Away FT23.8%18.1%–30.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.10

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal64.1%
2+ goals33.7%
3+ goals10.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.8%
Away42.0%