Serie B · 2023/24
2024-04-14 · 15:15
11.6955.5%
X3.6725.6%
24.9718.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Venezia
WWLDWWDWWL
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Brescia
DDWWLLDDLW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
1.20
1.60
Conceded
1.20
80%
Over 2.5
40%
80%
BTTS
80%

By half

2.00
1H goals
1.20
2.00
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
3.60N=10
4.60
Against
4.60
9.40
Total
8.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
1.20
1.60
Goals conceded
1.20
4.00
Total goals
2.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
80%8/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Venezia attack

2.40goals per match
Brescia conceded1.20
Matchup

Brescia attack

1.20goals per match
Venezia conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
80%8/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.70
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
4.60
Corners against
4.60
9.40
Match total
8.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.30
Match total
5.20
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.70N=10
Committed
14.60N=10
23.20
Match total
29.80

Shots

14.50N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
5.10
On target
3.60
17%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches529
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.5%59.2%+3.6 pp
Draw25.6%21.2%-4.4 pp
Away18.9%19.7%+0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.524.6%
BTTS47.1%

Historical average

1.680.90

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.2%
2-012.5%
2-112.1%
1-19.3%
0-06.4%

Comparable corner averages

6.094.07
Average total10.16

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=529.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.9%
Over 9.554.1%
Over 10.541.8%
Over 11.533.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches161
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT52.2%44.5%–59.7% CI
Draw FT32.9%26.1%–40.5% CI
Away FT14.9%10.2%–21.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.35

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.9%
2+ goals40.4%
3+ goals11.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.5%
Away32.3%