Serie B · 2023/24
2024-04-14 · 15:15
11.6955.5%
X3.6725.6%
24.9718.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Venezia
WWLDWWDWWL
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Brescia
DDWWLLDDLW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
2.40
Scored
1.20
1.60
Conceded
1.20
80%
Over 2.5
40%
80%
BTTS
80%
By half
2.00
1H goals
1.20
2.00
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.80N=10
For
3.60N=10
4.60
Against
4.60
9.40
Total
8.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongBoth teams scored
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
1.20
1.60
Goals conceded
1.20
4.00
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Venezia attack
2.40goals per matchBrescia conceded1.20Matchup
Brescia attack
1.20goals per matchVenezia conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.70
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
4.60
Corners against
4.60
9.40
Match total
8.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.30
Match total
5.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.70N=10
Committed
14.60N=10
23.20
Match total
29.80
Shots
14.50N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
5.10
On target
3.60
17%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches529
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.5%59.2%+3.6 pp
Draw25.6%21.2%-4.4 pp
Away18.9%19.7%+0.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.524.6%
BTTS47.1%
Historical average
1.68–0.90
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-014.2%
2-012.5%
2-112.1%
1-19.3%
0-06.4%
Comparable corner averages
6.09–4.07
Average total10.16
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=529.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.9%
Over 9.554.1%
Over 10.541.8%
Over 11.533.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches161
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT52.2%44.5%–59.7% CI
Draw FT32.9%26.1%–40.5% CI
Away FT14.9%10.2%–21.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.35
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal78.9%
2+ goals40.4%
3+ goals11.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home66.5%
Away32.3%