Serie B · 2023/24
2024-04-13 · 15:15
11.7254.6%
X3.7325.2%
24.6320.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Parma
WDDWDWWDWL
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Spezia
DLWLLWDDDD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
0.90
1.30
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.00
1.70
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.30N=10
For
3.80N=10
3.70
Against
6.20
10.00
Total
10.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.90
1.30
Goals conceded
1.50
3.10
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Parma attack
1.80goals per matchSpezia conceded1.50Matchup
Spezia attack
0.90goals per matchParma conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.30
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
3.70
Corners against
6.20
10.00
Match total
10.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
3.40N=10
4.70
Match total
6.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.10N=10
Committed
16.20N=10
23.90
Match total
30.60
Shots
17.60N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
5.70
On target
3.60
10%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches567
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.6%54.9%+0.3 pp
Draw25.2%25.7%+0.6 pp
Away20.3%19.4%-0.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.550.3%
Over 3.527.5%
BTTS51.7%
Historical average
1.70–0.96
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-113.1%
1-012.0%
1-111.3%
2-09.3%
0-08.1%
Comparable corner averages
6.15–3.96
Average total10.12
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=567.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.3%
Over 9.553.8%
Over 10.541.3%
Over 11.531.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches175
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT44.0%36.9%–51.4% CI
Draw FT39.4%32.5%–46.8% CI
Away FT16.6%11.8%–22.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.34
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.7%
2+ goals41.1%
3+ goals13.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home59.4%
Away38.9%