Serie B · 2023/24
2024-04-13 · 15:15
11.7254.6%
X3.7325.2%
24.6320.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Parma
WDDWDWWDWL
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Spezia
DLWLLWDDDD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
0.90
1.30
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.00
1.70
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
3.80N=10
3.70
Against
6.20
10.00
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.90
1.30
Goals conceded
1.50
3.10
Total goals
2.40
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Parma attack

1.80goals per match
Spezia conceded1.50
Matchup

Spezia attack

0.90goals per match
Parma conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
3.70
Corners against
6.20
10.00
Match total
10.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
3.40N=10
4.70
Match total
6.60
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

12.10N=10
Committed
16.20N=10
23.90
Match total
30.60

Shots

17.60N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
5.70
On target
3.60
10%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches567
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.6%54.9%+0.3 pp
Draw25.2%25.7%+0.6 pp
Away20.3%19.4%-0.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.550.3%
Over 3.527.5%
BTTS51.7%

Historical average

1.700.96

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.1%
1-012.0%
1-111.3%
2-09.3%
0-08.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.153.96
Average total10.12

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=567.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.3%
Over 9.553.8%
Over 10.541.3%
Over 11.531.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches175
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT44.0%36.9%–51.4% CI
Draw FT39.4%32.5%–46.8% CI
Away FT16.6%11.8%–22.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.34

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.7%
2+ goals41.1%
3+ goals13.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home59.4%
Away38.9%