Serie B · 2023/24
2024-04-13 · 13:00
11.9947.1%
X3.1929.4%
24.0023.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sampdoria
WWLDLDDLWW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Sudtirol
LLWLDWDDLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
1.30
1.50
Conceded
1.70
70%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
90%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.20
1.80
2H goals
1.80
100%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
4.10N=10
For
3.10N=10
5.80
Against
5.10
9.90
Total
8.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongBoth teams scored
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.30
1.50
Goals conceded
1.70
3.20
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sampdoria attack
1.70goals per matchSudtirol conceded1.70Matchup
Sudtirol attack
1.30goals per matchSampdoria conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.80
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
5.80
Corners against
5.10
9.90
Match total
8.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
3.20N=10
5.50
Match total
5.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.90N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
30.30
Match total
28.80
Shots
14.90N=10
Shots
8.30N=10
4.60
On target
3.10
11%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches376
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.1%50.0%+2.9 pp
Draw29.4%30.1%+0.6 pp
Away23.5%19.9%-3.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.565.2%
Over 2.541.8%
Over 3.522.1%
BTTS44.7%
Historical average
1.44–0.86
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-015.7%
0-012.8%
1-112.0%
2-18.8%
2-07.4%
Comparable corner averages
5.49–3.81
Average total9.31
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=376.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.557.2%
Over 9.544.1%
Over 10.533.0%
Over 11.524.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches151
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT43.0%35.4%–51.0% CI
Draw FT41.7%34.2%–49.7% CI
Away FT15.2%10.4%–21.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.21
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal68.2%
2+ goals32.5%
3+ goals15.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home55.6%
Away33.8%