Serie B · 2023/24
2024-04-13 · 13:00
12.1443.8%
X2.9531.8%
23.8524.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cittadella
WWWWWLLLLD
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Ascoli
LDLLDWLWLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.00
1.20
Conceded
1.40
60%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
4.00N=10
3.20
Against
5.50
7.70
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.00
1.20
Goals conceded
1.40
2.90
Total goals
2.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Cittadella attack

1.70goals per match
Ascoli conceded1.40
Matchup

Ascoli attack

1.00goals per match
Cittadella conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
3.20
Corners against
5.50
7.70
Match total
9.50
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
3.30N=10
5.30
Match total
5.90
90%9/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.30N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
27.80
Match total
31.10

Shots

14.20N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
3.80
On target
2.80
12%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches248
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.8%44.4%+0.5 pp
Draw31.8%29.8%-2.0 pp
Away24.4%25.8%+1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.561.7%
Over 2.534.7%
Over 3.514.5%
BTTS42.7%

Historical average

1.210.86

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.5%
1-113.7%
0-012.5%
0-111.3%
2-19.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.183.90
Average total9.08

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=248.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.554.8%
Over 9.545.6%
Over 10.531.0%
Over 11.524.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches103
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.1%22.9%–40.5% CI
Draw FT46.6%37.3%–56.2% CI
Away FT22.3%15.4%–31.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.13

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.9%
2+ goals31.1%
3+ goals8.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home49.5%
Away41.7%