Serie B · 2023/24
2024-04-06 · 15:15
12.6435.6%
X3.1829.5%
22.6934.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Catanzaro
LWWLWDWDWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Como
DWWLWDWLWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.20
1.40
Conceded
1.10
50%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.20
1.80
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
4.90N=10
3.90
Against
3.50
8.70
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.20
1.40
Goals conceded
1.10
3.40
Total goals
2.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Catanzaro attack

2.00goals per match
Como conceded1.10
Matchup

Como attack

1.20goals per match
Catanzaro conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.80
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
3.90
Corners against
3.50
8.70
Match total
8.40
50%5/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.20
Match total
4.80
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

17.80N=10
Committed
15.10N=10
29.40
Match total
27.50

Shots

12.20N=10
Shots
14.70N=10
4.50
On target
4.30
16%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches882
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.6%32.0%-3.6 pp
Draw29.5%30.3%+0.7 pp
Away34.9%37.8%+2.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.546.1%
Over 3.523.9%
BTTS52.4%

Historical average

1.171.31

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.1%
0-111.8%
2-18.5%
1-08.4%
0-07.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.014.78
Average total9.79

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=881.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.2%
Over 9.549.9%
Over 10.537.6%
Over 11.527.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches287
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT26.1%21.4%–31.5% CI
Draw FT38.7%33.2%–44.4% CI
Away FT35.2%29.9%–40.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.0%
2+ goals38.3%
3+ goals13.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.9%
Away55.4%