Serie B · 2023/24
2024-04-06 · 13:00
11.6656.5%
X3.7625.0%
25.0718.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Spezia
DLWDLDWLWW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Lecco
LDLDLLLDLL
0W 3D 7L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.80
1.20
Conceded
2.30
40%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.10
1.30
2H goals
2.00
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
5.70N=10
4.80
Against
5.20
10.30
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.80
1.20
Goals conceded
2.30
2.50
Total goals
3.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Spezia attack

1.30goals per match
Lecco conceded2.30
Matchup

Lecco attack

0.80goals per match
Spezia conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
4.80
Corners against
5.20
10.30
Match total
10.90
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.40
Match total
5.20
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

16.50N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
30.10
Match total
26.60

Shots

14.70N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
4.20
On target
3.80
9%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches507
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.5%58.8%+2.2 pp
Draw25.0%21.9%-3.1 pp
Away18.5%19.3%+0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.550.7%
Over 3.526.6%
BTTS50.1%

Historical average

1.720.94

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.0%
2-112.4%
2-010.8%
1-110.1%
0-06.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.153.89
Average total10.03

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=507.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.5%
Over 9.554.2%
Over 10.541.4%
Over 11.532.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches159
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT50.3%42.6%–58.0% CI
Draw FT34.0%27.1%–41.6% CI
Away FT15.7%10.9%–22.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.45

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.9%
2+ goals41.5%
3+ goals15.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home65.4%
Away38.4%