Serie B · 2023/24
2024-04-01 · 14:00
12.0445.8%
X3.1629.6%
23.7924.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Spezia
DDLWDLDWLW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Ascoli
WLDLLDWLWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.10
1.10
Conceded
1.20
30%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.00
1.20
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
3.80N=10
4.80
Against
5.60
10.70
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.10
1.10
Goals conceded
1.20
2.20
Total goals
2.30
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Spezia attack

1.10goals per match
Ascoli conceded1.20
Matchup

Ascoli attack

1.10goals per match
Spezia conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
4.80
Corners against
5.60
10.70
Match total
9.40
90%9/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
3.40N=10
6.00
Match total
6.20
90%9/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

15.70N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
29.60
Match total
31.00

Shots

15.60N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
4.10
On target
3.00
7%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches197
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.8%44.2%-1.6 pp
Draw29.6%36.0%+6.5 pp
Away24.6%19.8%-4.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.5%
Over 2.534.5%
Over 3.516.8%
BTTS44.7%

Historical average

1.310.83

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.8%
0-014.7%
1-012.2%
2-011.2%
2-17.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.514.08
Average total9.58

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=197.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.4%
Over 9.548.2%
Over 10.537.6%
Over 11.528.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches81
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.9%21.9%–41.6% CI
Draw FT51.9%41.1%–62.4% CI
Away FT17.3%10.6%–26.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.06

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal64.2%
2+ goals35.8%
3+ goals6.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home49.4%
Away35.8%