Serie B · 2023/24
2024-04-01 · 11:30
11.9647.7%
X3.1729.5%
24.1022.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Modena
WLWDLWDDLL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Bari
WDLLDDLLLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.90
1.20
Conceded
1.80
50%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.90
1.00
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
4.60N=10
3.50
Against
4.70
9.50
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.90
1.20
Goals conceded
1.80
2.40
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Modena attack

1.20goals per match
Bari conceded1.80
Matchup

Bari attack

0.90goals per match
Modena conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
3.50
Corners against
4.70
9.50
Match total
9.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.20N=10
For
3.30N=10
6.10
Match total
6.50
90%9/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

14.90N=10
Committed
15.50N=10
29.30
Match total
29.80

Shots

14.50N=10
Shots
13.30N=10
4.50
On target
3.10
8%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches370
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.7%48.9%+1.2 pp
Draw29.5%30.3%+0.8 pp
Away22.8%20.8%-2.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.3%
Over 2.541.9%
Over 3.520.5%
BTTS44.3%

Historical average

1.420.86

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-016.2%
1-111.9%
0-011.9%
2-19.2%
0-17.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.333.88
Average total9.21

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=370.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.5%
Over 9.542.4%
Over 10.531.9%
Over 11.523.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches146
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.2%37.4%–53.3% CI
Draw FT38.4%30.9%–46.4% CI
Away FT16.4%11.3%–23.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.22

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.9%
2+ goals31.5%
3+ goals15.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.2%
Away33.6%