Serie B · 2023/24
2024-03-16 · 15:15
12.5636.7%
X2.9531.9%
23.0031.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Reggiana
WDDDLWDDLD
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM
Spezia
LDLWLLWDDD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
0.90
1.10
Conceded
1.80
20%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.20
1.30
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
3.80N=10
5.50
Against
6.40
9.80
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.90
1.10
Goals conceded
1.80
2.10
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Reggiana attack

1.00goals per match
Spezia conceded1.80
Matchup

Spezia attack

0.90goals per match
Reggiana conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
5.50
Corners against
6.40
9.80
Match total
10.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.00N=10
For
3.10N=10
6.70
Match total
6.30
100%10/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

14.00N=10
Committed
16.10N=10
26.70
Match total
30.60

Shots

13.60N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
3.30
On target
3.60
7%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches383
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.7%32.1%-4.6 pp
Draw31.9%36.8%+4.9 pp
Away31.4%31.1%-0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.2%
Over 2.536.6%
Over 3.517.2%
BTTS48.3%

Historical average

1.071.07

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.5%
0-013.3%
1-012.3%
0-110.2%
2-18.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.804.28
Average total9.08

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=383.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.554.0%
Over 9.543.6%
Over 10.531.9%
Over 11.522.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches150
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT30.7%23.8%–38.5% CI
Draw FT48.7%40.8%–56.6% CI
Away FT20.7%15.0%–27.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.11

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.0%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals9.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home49.3%
Away40.0%