Serie B · 2023/24
2024-03-16 · 15:15
12.5337.1%
X2.9931.4%
22.9931.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Cittadella
LWWWWWLLLL
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM
Modena
WWDLLDLDDD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
1.40
1.30
Conceded
1.90
70%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.40
1.70
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.30N=10
For
5.10N=10
3.50
Against
4.30
7.80
Total
9.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.40
1.30
Goals conceded
1.90
3.00
Total goals
3.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Cittadella attack
1.70goals per matchModena conceded1.90Matchup
Modena attack
1.40goals per matchCittadella conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
1.20
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
3.50
Corners against
4.30
7.80
Match total
9.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
3.40N=10
5.40
Match total
5.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.60N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
28.10
Match total
28.50
Shots
14.10N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
3.80
On target
4.00
12%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches366
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.1%32.2%-4.9 pp
Draw31.4%34.2%+2.7 pp
Away31.4%33.6%+2.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.564.8%
Over 2.539.1%
Over 3.518.0%
BTTS49.2%
Historical average
1.08–1.11
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.6%
0-012.6%
0-111.7%
1-010.9%
1-28.7%
Comparable corner averages
4.67–4.31
Average total8.98
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=366.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.553.3%
Over 9.543.7%
Over 10.532.5%
Over 11.521.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches133
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.1%20.2%–35.2% CI
Draw FT46.6%38.4%–55.1% CI
Away FT26.3%19.6%–34.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.13
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal65.4%
2+ goals34.6%
3+ goals10.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home44.4%
Away42.1%