Serie B · 2023/24
2024-03-16 · 15:15
12.5337.1%
X2.9931.4%
22.9931.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cittadella
LWWWWWLLLL
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM
Modena
WWDLLDLDDD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.40
1.30
Conceded
1.90
70%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.40
1.70
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
5.10N=10
3.50
Against
4.30
7.80
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.40
1.30
Goals conceded
1.90
3.00
Total goals
3.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Cittadella attack

1.70goals per match
Modena conceded1.90
Matchup

Modena attack

1.40goals per match
Cittadella conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.20
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
3.50
Corners against
4.30
7.80
Match total
9.40
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
3.40N=10
5.40
Match total
5.60
90%9/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.60N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
28.10
Match total
28.50

Shots

14.10N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
3.80
On target
4.00
12%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches366
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.1%32.2%-4.9 pp
Draw31.4%34.2%+2.7 pp
Away31.4%33.6%+2.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.8%
Over 2.539.1%
Over 3.518.0%
BTTS49.2%

Historical average

1.081.11

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.6%
0-012.6%
0-111.7%
1-010.9%
1-28.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.674.31
Average total8.98

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=366.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.553.3%
Over 9.543.7%
Over 10.532.5%
Over 11.521.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches133
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.1%20.2%–35.2% CI
Draw FT46.6%38.4%–55.1% CI
Away FT26.3%19.6%–34.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.13

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal65.4%
2+ goals34.6%
3+ goals10.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.4%
Away42.1%