Serie B · 2023/24
2024-03-16 · 15:15
12.6235.8%
X2.9731.6%
22.8832.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Bari
DWLWDWLWWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Sampdoria
DLWLWLWLWW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.70
1.00
Conceded
1.80
40%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
80%
By half
0.70
1H goals
1.30
1.50
2H goals
2.20
90%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
6.70N=10
For
3.40N=10
5.10
Against
4.20
11.80
Total
7.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.70
1.00
Goals conceded
1.80
2.20
Total goals
3.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Bari attack
1.20goals per matchSampdoria conceded1.80Matchup
Sampdoria attack
1.70goals per matchBari conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.70
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
1.00
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
5.10
Corners against
4.20
11.80
Match total
7.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.90N=10
For
3.90N=10
5.70
Match total
7.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.20N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
28.30
Match total
28.80
Shots
13.50N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
3.40
On target
3.50
9%
Conversion
17%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches525
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.8%35.6%-0.2 pp
Draw31.6%34.7%+3.1 pp
Away32.6%29.7%-2.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.562.1%
Over 2.535.0%
Over 3.516.0%
BTTS46.3%
Historical average
1.09–1.02
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.8%
1-013.7%
0-013.0%
0-111.2%
2-19.1%
Comparable corner averages
4.78–4.40
Average total9.18
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=525.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.554.7%
Over 9.544.2%
Over 10.533.7%
Over 11.525.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches206
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT33.0%27.0%–39.7% CI
Draw FT44.2%37.6%–51.0% CI
Away FT22.8%17.6%–29.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.14
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal67.0%
2+ goals32.0%
3+ goals12.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home47.6%
Away39.3%