Serie B · 2023/24
2024-03-16 · 15:15
12.6235.8%
X2.9731.6%
22.8832.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bari
DWLWDWLWWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Sampdoria
DLWLWLWLWW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.70
1.00
Conceded
1.80
40%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
80%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.30
1.50
2H goals
2.20
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
3.40N=10
5.10
Against
4.20
11.80
Total
7.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.70
1.00
Goals conceded
1.80
2.20
Total goals
3.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Bari attack

1.20goals per match
Sampdoria conceded1.80
Matchup

Sampdoria attack

1.70goals per match
Bari conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.70
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.00
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
5.10
Corners against
4.20
11.80
Match total
7.60
90%9/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
3.90N=10
5.70
Match total
7.00
90%9/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

15.20N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
28.30
Match total
28.80

Shots

13.50N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
3.40
On target
3.50
9%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches525
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.8%35.6%-0.2 pp
Draw31.6%34.7%+3.1 pp
Away32.6%29.7%-2.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.562.1%
Over 2.535.0%
Over 3.516.0%
BTTS46.3%

Historical average

1.091.02

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.8%
1-013.7%
0-013.0%
0-111.2%
2-19.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.784.40
Average total9.18

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=525.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.554.7%
Over 9.544.2%
Over 10.533.7%
Over 11.525.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches206
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT33.0%27.0%–39.7% CI
Draw FT44.2%37.6%–51.0% CI
Away FT22.8%17.6%–29.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.14

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.0%
2+ goals32.0%
3+ goals12.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.6%
Away39.3%