Serie B · 2023/24
2024-03-15 · 19:30
12.5936.3%
X3.2628.8%
22.6934.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Palermo
LWLLWWWWWL
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM
Venezia
LWWLDLLWWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.50
1.40
Conceded
1.30
80%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.20
1.90
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.00N=10
For
4.90N=10
5.80
Against
5.30
9.80
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.50
1.40
Goals conceded
1.30
3.50
Total goals
2.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Palermo attack

2.10goals per match
Venezia conceded1.30
Matchup

Venezia attack

1.50goals per match
Palermo conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.90
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
5.80
Corners against
5.30
9.80
Match total
10.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.30
Match total
5.00
100%10/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.30N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
25.50
Match total
23.80

Shots

13.80N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
5.60
On target
4.20
15%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches591
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.3%37.6%+1.3 pp
Draw28.8%26.6%-2.2 pp
Away34.9%35.9%+1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.552.5%
Over 3.527.7%
BTTS57.5%

Historical average

1.371.34

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.9%
1-211.0%
1-011.0%
2-17.4%
0-17.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.124.83
Average total9.95

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=591.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.5%
Over 9.553.6%
Over 10.542.3%
Over 11.531.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches172
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT39.0%32.0%–46.4% CI
Draw FT35.5%28.7%–42.9% CI
Away FT25.6%19.6%–32.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.58

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.4%
2+ goals45.9%
3+ goals18.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home62.8%
Away51.2%