Serie B · 2023/24
2024-03-11 · 19:30
12.1443.7%
X3.0330.8%
23.6725.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sampdoria
WWWWLDLDDL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Ascoli
DWLDLLDWLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.10
1.30
Conceded
1.10
50%
Over 2.5
20%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.00
1.40
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.00N=10
For
3.70N=10
6.10
Against
5.60
9.10
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.10
1.30
Goals conceded
1.10
2.70
Total goals
2.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Sampdoria attack

1.40goals per match
Ascoli conceded1.10
Matchup

Ascoli attack

1.10goals per match
Sampdoria conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.00N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
6.10
Corners against
5.60
9.10
Match total
9.30
30%3/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
3.40N=10
6.00
Match total
6.10
80%8/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

15.60N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
29.60
Match total
29.30

Shots

14.70N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
4.30
On target
3.10
10%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches398
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.7%45.0%+1.3 pp
Draw30.8%30.4%-0.4 pp
Away25.5%24.6%-0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.6%
Over 2.534.9%
Over 3.515.6%
BTTS44.2%

Historical average

1.240.88

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.6%
1-114.6%
0-011.6%
0-110.3%
2-09.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.143.82
Average total8.96

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=398.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.550.5%
Over 9.540.7%
Over 10.529.4%
Over 11.522.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches167
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT35.9%29.0%–43.4% CI
Draw FT44.3%37.0%–51.9% CI
Away FT19.8%14.4%–26.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.20

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.5%
2+ goals33.5%
3+ goals10.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.9%
Away42.5%