Serie B · 2022/23
2023-05-19 · 19:30
11.4963.2%
X4.2422.2%
26.4514.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Pisa
WLLDWDWDLL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Spal
WWLLLLLWDL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.80
1.10
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.00
1.00
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.50
Against
7.00
8.80
Total
11.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.80
1.10
Goals conceded
1.30
2.30
Total goals
2.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Pisa attack

1.20goals per match
Spal conceded1.30
Matchup

Spal attack

0.80goals per match
Pisa conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.50
Corners against
7.00
8.80
Match total
11.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
100%10/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.50N=10
6.30
Match total
5.10
90%9/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.40N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
28.90
Match total
29.20

Shots

14.80N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
4.60
On target
3.00
8%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches207
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home63.2%66.7%+3.5 pp
Draw22.2%21.3%-1.0 pp
Away14.6%12.1%-2.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.2%
Over 2.554.1%
Over 3.536.7%
BTTS46.9%

Historical average

2.200.80

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-011.6%
1-111.6%
1-011.6%
2-17.7%
4-06.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.433.56
Average total9.99

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=207.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.3%
Over 9.550.2%
Over 10.540.1%
Over 11.530.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches51
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT49.0%35.9%–62.3% CI
Draw FT37.3%25.3%–51.0% CI
Away FT13.7%6.8%–25.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.49

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.4%
2+ goals45.1%
3+ goals15.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home68.6%
Away41.2%