Serie B · 2022/23
2023-05-13 · 13:00
11.9348.7%
X3.5026.8%
23.8324.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Venezia
WDLDWDDWWW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Perugia
LWLWLLLWLD
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.90
Scored
1.10
1.00
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.00
1.80
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
4.90N=10
For
5.30N=10
5.20
Against
6.00
10.10
Total
11.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.10
1.00
Goals conceded
1.30
2.90
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Venezia attack
1.90goals per matchPerugia conceded1.30Matchup
Perugia attack
1.10goals per matchVenezia conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
5.20
Corners against
6.00
10.10
Match total
11.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
3.00N=10
3.70
Match total
5.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.50N=10
Committed
17.50N=10
23.40
Match total
30.10
Shots
12.50N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
4.40
On target
3.00
15%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches591
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.7%44.8%-3.8 pp
Draw26.8%28.3%+1.4 pp
Away24.5%26.9%+2.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.546.5%
Over 3.524.5%
BTTS49.9%
Historical average
1.48–1.05
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-111.7%
1-011.5%
2-19.0%
0-08.8%
0-18.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.63–4.43
Average total10.07
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=591.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.551.4%
Over 10.540.9%
Over 11.531.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches210
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT35.2%29.1%–41.9% CI
Draw FT36.7%30.4%–43.4% CI
Away FT28.1%22.5%–34.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.33
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.2%
2+ goals39.0%
3+ goals14.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home51.0%
Away45.7%