Serie B · 2022/23
2023-05-13 · 13:00
12.7833.7%
X2.9232.1%
22.7434.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sudtirol
DLWWDDWWLD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Cittadella
LLWDLWLDDD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
0.80
0.70
Conceded
1.30
20%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.10
0.80
2H goals
1.00
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
5.00N=10
4.40
Against
5.60
9.40
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
0.80
0.70
Goals conceded
1.30
1.60
Total goals
2.10
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Sudtirol attack

0.90goals per match
Cittadella conceded1.30
Matchup

Cittadella attack

0.80goals per match
Sudtirol conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
4.40
Corners against
5.60
9.40
Match total
10.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.10
Match total
4.80
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.60N=10
Committed
15.80N=10
27.90
Match total
30.50

Shots

11.20N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
3.70
On target
4.10
8%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches389
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.7%32.6%-1.1 pp
Draw32.1%35.5%+3.4 pp
Away34.2%31.9%-2.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.0%
Over 2.533.7%
Over 3.514.1%
BTTS47.0%

Historical average

1.021.03

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.2%
0-013.4%
1-012.1%
0-111.6%
2-18.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.744.49
Average total9.23

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=389.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.6%
Over 9.548.1%
Over 10.535.0%
Over 11.524.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches164
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT31.1%24.5%–38.5% CI
Draw FT43.3%35.9%–50.9% CI
Away FT25.6%19.5%–32.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.06

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.3%
2+ goals29.3%
3+ goals6.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.7%
Away40.2%