Serie B · 2022/23
2023-05-13 · 13:00
13.2928.5%
X3.2528.9%
22.2042.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Spal
DLDLDLWDDD
1W 6D 3L · 0.90 PPM
Parma
DLLDWWLWDD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.20
1.50
Conceded
1.60
30%
Over 2.5
40%
80%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.70
1.30
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
5.90N=10
4.70
Against
3.90
10.10
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.20
1.50
Goals conceded
1.60
2.70
Total goals
2.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Spal attack

1.20goals per match
Parma conceded1.60
Matchup

Parma attack

1.20goals per match
Spal conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.90
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
5.90N=10
4.70
Corners against
3.90
10.10
Match total
9.80
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
2.00N=10
5.90
Match total
4.30
90%9/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.90N=10
Committed
14.70N=10
28.50
Match total
26.90

Shots

14.40N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
4.50
On target
4.90
8%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches403
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.5%25.6%-2.9 pp
Draw28.9%24.6%-4.3 pp
Away42.6%49.9%+7.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.548.9%
Over 3.525.1%
BTTS54.6%

Historical average

1.071.54

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.9%
1-212.7%
0-111.2%
1-08.7%
0-07.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.625.10
Average total9.72

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=403.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.0%
Over 9.553.1%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.528.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches131
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.7%19.9%–34.9% CI
Draw FT36.6%28.9%–45.2% CI
Away FT36.6%28.9%–45.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.45

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.3%
2+ goals43.5%
3+ goals19.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.8%
Away58.8%