Serie B · 2022/23
2023-05-13 · 13:00
12.2441.9%
X3.3428.1%
23.1230.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Benevento
WLLLWLDLDD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Modena
LWLLWLLLWL
3W 0D 7L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.00
1.40
Conceded
2.10
40%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.10
1.10
2H goals
2.00
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
5.40N=10
4.20
Against
5.00
10.00
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.00
1.40
Goals conceded
2.10
2.20
Total goals
3.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Benevento attack

0.80goals per match
Modena conceded2.10
Matchup

Modena attack

1.00goals per match
Benevento conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
4.20
Corners against
5.00
10.00
Match total
10.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.40N=10
For
1.80N=10
5.30
Match total
4.70
90%9/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.60N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
28.40
Match total
27.60

Shots

13.00N=10
Shots
14.80N=10
2.90
On target
4.40
6%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches850
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.9%41.4%-0.5 pp
Draw28.1%29.1%+1.0 pp
Away30.1%29.5%-0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.4%
Over 2.545.9%
Over 3.525.5%
BTTS51.4%

Historical average

1.391.14

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.6%
1-011.2%
2-19.1%
0-08.6%
0-17.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.474.48
Average total9.96

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=850.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.3%
Over 9.552.8%
Over 10.540.4%
Over 11.529.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches267
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT34.8%29.4%–40.7% CI
Draw FT39.7%34.0%–45.7% CI
Away FT25.5%20.6%–31.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.23

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals34.1%
3+ goals12.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.7%
Away42.3%