Serie B · 2022/23
2023-05-13 · 13:00
12.2342.1%
X3.2229.1%
23.2628.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Bari
LWLWDWDWDD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Reggina
WWLLLLLWDL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
1.20
0.90
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.10
1.30
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.50N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.90
Against
5.30
9.40
Total
9.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.20
0.90
Goals conceded
1.50
2.30
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Bari attack
1.40goals per matchReggina conceded1.50Matchup
Reggina attack
1.20goals per matchBari conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.90
Corners against
5.30
9.40
Match total
9.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
3.20N=10
5.60
Match total
6.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.20N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
27.60
Match total
28.80
Shots
11.50N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
3.30
On target
2.80
12%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches899
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.1%41.4%-0.7 pp
Draw29.1%29.7%+0.6 pp
Away28.8%28.9%+0.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.545.8%
Over 3.525.1%
BTTS52.6%
Historical average
1.39–1.13
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.2%
1-010.7%
2-19.9%
0-08.6%
0-18.0%
Comparable corner averages
5.38–4.50
Average total9.88
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=899.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.2%
Over 9.552.6%
Over 10.539.7%
Over 11.528.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches275
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT34.5%29.2%–40.3% CI
Draw FT39.3%33.7%–45.2% CI
Away FT26.2%21.3%–31.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.21
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.0%
2+ goals32.7%
3+ goals12.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.9%
Away41.8%