Serie B · 2022/23
2023-05-13 · 13:00
12.2342.1%
X3.2229.1%
23.2628.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bari
LWLWDWDWDD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Reggina
WWLLLLLWDL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.20
0.90
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.10
1.30
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.90
Against
5.30
9.40
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.20
0.90
Goals conceded
1.50
2.30
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Bari attack

1.40goals per match
Reggina conceded1.50
Matchup

Reggina attack

1.20goals per match
Bari conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.90
Corners against
5.30
9.40
Match total
9.80
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
3.20N=10
5.60
Match total
6.30
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
27.60
Match total
28.80

Shots

11.50N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
3.30
On target
2.80
12%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches899
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.1%41.4%-0.7 pp
Draw29.1%29.7%+0.6 pp
Away28.8%28.9%+0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.545.8%
Over 3.525.1%
BTTS52.6%

Historical average

1.391.13

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.2%
1-010.7%
2-19.9%
0-08.6%
0-18.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.384.50
Average total9.88

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=899.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.2%
Over 9.552.6%
Over 10.539.7%
Over 11.528.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches275
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT34.5%29.2%–40.3% CI
Draw FT39.3%33.7%–45.2% CI
Away FT26.2%21.3%–31.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.21

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.0%
2+ goals32.7%
3+ goals12.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.9%
Away41.8%