Serie B · 2022/23
2023-05-07 · 15:15
11.7254.6%
X3.5026.8%
25.0618.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Parma
LLLWWLLDWW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Brescia
DLLLLDDLDW
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
0.90
0.80
Conceded
1.80
30%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.90
0.80
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

8.20N=10
For
4.40N=10
3.10
Against
4.70
11.30
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
0.90
0.80
Goals conceded
1.80
1.70
Total goals
2.70
50%5/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Parma attack

0.90goals per match
Brescia conceded1.80
Matchup

Brescia attack

0.90goals per match
Parma conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.20N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
3.10
Corners against
4.70
11.30
Match total
9.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.10N=10
5.80
Match total
4.40
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.60N=10
Committed
14.40N=10
28.70
Match total
29.40

Shots

15.00N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
4.40
On target
4.10
6%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches380
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.6%56.6%+2.0 pp
Draw26.8%23.9%-2.9 pp
Away18.6%19.5%+0.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.548.7%
Over 3.523.9%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

1.680.88

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.7%
1-012.6%
1-112.4%
2-010.3%
0-17.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.913.78
Average total9.69

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=380.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.7%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.535.5%
Over 11.527.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches122
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT49.2%40.5%–57.9% CI
Draw FT28.7%21.4%–37.3% CI
Away FT22.1%15.7%–30.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.52

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.1%
2+ goals44.3%
3+ goals18.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.9%
Away42.6%