Serie B · 2022/23
2023-05-06 · 15:15
11.8750.2%
X3.5326.6%
24.0423.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Palermo
LDWWWDDWDD
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Spal
DWWLLLLLWD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.70
0.70
Conceded
1.10
30%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.70
1H goals
0.80
1.20
2H goals
1.00
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
4.50N=10
5.00
Against
7.10
11.30
Total
11.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.70
0.70
Goals conceded
1.10
1.90
Total goals
1.80
50%5/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Palermo attack

1.20goals per match
Spal conceded1.10
Matchup

Spal attack

0.70goals per match
Palermo conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
5.00
Corners against
7.10
11.30
Match total
11.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
100%10/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.70
Match total
5.00
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.60N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
24.20
Match total
30.20

Shots

13.60N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
5.00
On target
3.10
9%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches430
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.2%47.2%-3.0 pp
Draw26.6%29.5%+2.9 pp
Away23.2%23.3%+0.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.549.5%
Over 3.528.1%
BTTS54.0%

Historical average

1.581.08

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.0%
1-011.4%
2-19.1%
0-08.6%
0-17.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.814.33
Average total10.15

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=430.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.555.3%
Over 10.543.7%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches132
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.6%28.0%–44.1% CI
Draw FT43.9%35.8%–52.5% CI
Away FT20.5%14.5%–28.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.0%
2+ goals37.1%
3+ goals13.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.8%
Away42.4%