Serie B · 2022/23
2023-05-06 · 13:00
12.7534.1%
X3.0131.2%
22.7034.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Modena
DDWWDLWDDD
3W 6D 1L · 1.50 PPM
Bari
DWDLWWWLWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.40
0.70
Conceded
0.70
20%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
30%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.00
0.90
2H goals
1.10
50%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.90N=10
For
3.30N=10
4.00
Against
6.60
9.90
Total
9.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.40
0.70
Goals conceded
0.70
1.80
Total goals
2.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Modena attack
1.10goals per matchBari conceded0.70Matchup
Bari attack
1.40goals per matchModena conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.70
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
4.00
Corners against
6.60
9.90
Match total
9.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.00
Match total
4.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.30N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
29.20
Match total
26.50
Shots
12.20N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
3.00
On target
3.80
9%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches546
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.1%32.8%-1.3 pp
Draw31.2%33.9%+2.7 pp
Away34.7%33.3%-1.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.565.2%
Over 2.538.5%
Over 3.518.1%
BTTS48.4%
Historical average
1.09–1.11
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.1%
0-012.3%
0-111.5%
1-011.0%
2-18.6%
Comparable corner averages
4.63–4.63
Average total9.26
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=546.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.556.8%
Over 9.545.1%
Over 10.534.2%
Over 11.524.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches207
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT27.5%21.9%–34.0% CI
Draw FT46.9%40.2%–53.7% CI
Away FT25.6%20.1%–32.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.10
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal67.6%
2+ goals31.9%
3+ goals9.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home44.4%
Away44.9%