Serie B · 2022/23
2023-05-06 · 13:00
11.8550.8%
X3.2129.3%
24.7219.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cittadella
LLDWWDDLLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Benevento
WDDLLDDLLD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
0.60
1.40
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
10%
20%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.10
1.10
2H goals
0.60
60%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
4.00N=10
3.70
Against
5.90
8.70
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
0.60
1.40
Goals conceded
1.10
2.30
Total goals
1.70
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
10%1/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
20%2/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Cittadella attack

0.90goals per match
Benevento conceded1.10
Matchup

Benevento attack

0.60goals per match
Cittadella conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.60
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.00
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
3.70
Corners against
5.90
8.70
Match total
9.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.70N=10
For
3.40N=10
6.50
Match total
5.90
100%10/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

15.10N=10
Committed
15.40N=10
32.50
Match total
30.60

Shots

12.50N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
3.80
On target
2.90
7%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches212
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.8%48.1%-2.7 pp
Draw29.3%32.5%+3.3 pp
Away19.9%19.3%-0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.558.5%
Over 2.531.6%
Over 3.515.6%
BTTS35.8%

Historical average

1.280.75

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-017.5%
0-014.6%
2-012.3%
1-111.8%
0-19.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.143.78
Average total8.92

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=212.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.554.7%
Over 9.540.6%
Over 10.527.8%
Over 11.519.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches83
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.1%26.6%–46.9% CI
Draw FT47.0%36.6%–57.6% CI
Away FT16.9%10.3%–26.3% CI

Remaining goals

0.94

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal62.7%
2+ goals25.3%
3+ goals6.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.2%
Away30.1%