Serie B · 2022/23
2023-05-01 · 17:00
12.2142.4%
X3.1829.5%
23.3328.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Venezia
WWDLDWDDWW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Modena
WLWLLWLLLW
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.30
1.10
Conceded
1.80
50%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
2.00
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
5.00N=10
5.30
Against
4.40
9.70
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.30
1.10
Goals conceded
1.80
2.70
Total goals
3.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Venezia attack

1.60goals per match
Modena conceded1.80
Matchup

Modena attack

1.30goals per match
Venezia conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
5.30
Corners against
4.40
9.70
Match total
9.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.60
Match total
5.20
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.80N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
24.10
Match total
29.30

Shots

11.90N=10
Shots
15.00N=10
4.00
On target
4.70
13%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches907
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.4%41.5%-0.9 pp
Draw29.5%31.2%+1.7 pp
Away28.1%27.3%-0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.523.3%
BTTS52.4%

Historical average

1.351.09

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.5%
1-011.8%
2-19.6%
0-08.6%
0-17.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.164.36
Average total9.53

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=906.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.8%
Over 9.548.2%
Over 10.535.5%
Over 11.526.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches288
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT36.1%30.8%–41.8% CI
Draw FT41.0%35.4%–46.7% CI
Away FT22.9%18.4%–28.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.9%
2+ goals37.5%
3+ goals13.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.2%
Away42.4%