Serie B · 2022/23
2023-05-01 · 14:00
13.3827.7%
X3.2229.0%
22.1643.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Benevento
LWLLLWLDLD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Parma
WDLLDWWLWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
1.20
1.30
Conceded
1.40
30%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.60
1.00
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
5.70N=10
4.00
Against
3.80
9.70
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
1.20
1.30
Goals conceded
1.40
1.90
Total goals
2.60
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Benevento attack

0.60goals per match
Parma conceded1.40
Matchup

Parma attack

1.20goals per match
Benevento conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.80
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
4.00
Corners against
3.80
9.70
Match total
9.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.40N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.40
Match total
4.60
90%9/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.90N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
28.60
Match total
26.40

Shots

12.40N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
2.40
On target
4.70
5%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches343
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.7%23.3%-4.3 pp
Draw29.0%34.7%+5.7 pp
Away43.3%42.0%-1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.6%
Over 2.538.8%
Over 3.521.3%
BTTS44.0%

Historical average

0.941.28

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-014.9%
1-114.0%
0-112.8%
1-08.7%
0-27.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.375.23
Average total9.60

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=343.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.4%
Over 9.548.7%
Over 10.538.5%
Over 11.528.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches121
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT14.0%9.0%–21.4% CI
Draw FT56.2%47.3%–64.7% CI
Away FT29.8%22.3%–38.4% CI

Remaining goals

0.98

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal57.9%
2+ goals28.9%
3+ goals8.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home29.8%
Away46.3%