Serie B · 2022/23
2023-05-01 · 14:00
11.9847.3%
X3.2129.2%
23.9823.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bari
WLWLWDWDWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Cittadella
WLLWDLWLDD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
0.80
0.90
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
0.90
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
4.20N=10
5.10
Against
6.30
9.30
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.80
0.90
Goals conceded
1.20
2.60
Total goals
2.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Bari attack

1.70goals per match
Cittadella conceded1.20
Matchup

Cittadella attack

0.80goals per match
Bari conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
5.10
Corners against
6.30
9.30
Match total
10.50
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.80
Match total
4.90
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.00N=10
Committed
15.90N=10
27.50
Match total
30.80

Shots

11.40N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
3.50
On target
3.50
15%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches226
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.3%49.6%+2.3 pp
Draw29.2%31.4%+2.2 pp
Away23.5%19.0%-4.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.6%
Over 2.541.6%
Over 3.520.8%
BTTS44.2%

Historical average

1.440.82

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-015.0%
1-014.2%
1-111.9%
2-19.3%
2-08.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.493.63
Average total9.12

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=226.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.8%
Over 9.543.8%
Over 10.530.5%
Over 11.521.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches91
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.9%33.2%–53.1% CI
Draw FT42.9%33.2%–53.1% CI
Away FT14.3%8.5%–22.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.14

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal62.6%
2+ goals28.6%
3+ goals16.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.5%
Away29.7%