Serie B · 2022/23
2023-04-30 · 15:15
12.3140.6%
X3.0830.5%
23.2428.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Spal
LDLDLDLWDD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Perugia
DLWLWLLLWL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.00
1.70
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
30%
80%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.90
1.60
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
5.00N=10
4.10
Against
5.70
9.10
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.00
1.70
Goals conceded
1.20
3.00
Total goals
2.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
80%8/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Spal attack

1.30goals per match
Perugia conceded1.20
Matchup

Perugia attack

1.00goals per match
Spal conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.60
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
4.10
Corners against
5.70
9.10
Match total
10.70
40%4/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.00N=10
For
2.80N=10
6.20
Match total
5.20
90%9/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

15.00N=10
Committed
18.10N=10
29.90
Match total
31.20

Shots

15.10N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
4.80
On target
3.00
9%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches901
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.6%42.7%+2.1 pp
Draw30.5%30.1%-0.4 pp
Away28.9%27.2%-1.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.521.2%
BTTS48.8%

Historical average

1.301.01

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.1%
1-012.8%
0-010.0%
2-19.1%
0-18.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.144.50
Average total9.63

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=900.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.8%
Over 9.549.3%
Over 10.536.7%
Over 11.527.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches315
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT32.4%27.5%–37.7% CI
Draw FT43.2%37.8%–48.7% CI
Away FT24.4%20.0%–29.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.4%
2+ goals37.8%
3+ goals14.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.4%
Away44.1%