Serie B · 2022/23
2023-04-30 · 15:15
12.3140.6%
X3.0830.5%
23.2428.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Spal
LDLDLDLWDD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Perugia
DLWLWLLLWL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.00
1.70
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
30%
80%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.40
1H goals
0.90
1.60
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.00N=10
For
5.00N=10
4.10
Against
5.70
9.10
Total
10.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.00
1.70
Goals conceded
1.20
3.00
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Spal attack
1.30goals per matchPerugia conceded1.20Matchup
Perugia attack
1.00goals per matchSpal conceded1.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.60
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
4.10
Corners against
5.70
9.10
Match total
10.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.00N=10
For
2.80N=10
6.20
Match total
5.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.00N=10
Committed
18.10N=10
29.90
Match total
31.20
Shots
15.10N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
4.80
On target
3.00
9%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches901
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.6%42.7%+2.1 pp
Draw30.5%30.1%-0.4 pp
Away28.9%27.2%-1.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.521.2%
BTTS48.8%
Historical average
1.30–1.01
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.1%
1-012.8%
0-010.0%
2-19.1%
0-18.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.14–4.50
Average total9.63
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=900.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.8%
Over 9.549.3%
Over 10.536.7%
Over 11.527.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches315
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT32.4%27.5%–37.7% CI
Draw FT43.2%37.8%–48.7% CI
Away FT24.4%20.0%–29.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.30
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal71.4%
2+ goals37.8%
3+ goals14.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home52.4%
Away44.1%