Serie B · 2022/23
2023-04-22 · 13:00
11.8151.9%
X3.3628.0%
24.6820.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Perugia
WDWDWWDDLL
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Cosenza
LDLLLLLLWD
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.50
0.90
Conceded
2.10
50%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.00
1.50
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.30N=10
For
4.60N=10
5.00
Against
6.20
12.30
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.50
0.90
Goals conceded
2.10
2.40
Total goals
2.60
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Perugia attack

1.50goals per match
Cosenza conceded2.10
Matchup

Cosenza attack

0.50goals per match
Perugia conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.20
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.80
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.30N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
5.00
Corners against
6.20
12.30
Match total
10.80
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.40
Match total
4.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

17.70N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
31.60
Match total
27.20

Shots

14.40N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
5.40
On target
3.00
10%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches146
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.9%47.9%-4.0 pp
Draw28.0%30.1%+2.2 pp
Away20.1%21.9%+1.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.541.1%
Over 3.524.0%
BTTS46.6%

Historical average

1.510.90

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.7%
2-012.3%
1-011.0%
0-110.3%
0-08.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.773.64
Average total9.41

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=146.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.0%
Over 9.549.3%
Over 10.532.2%
Over 11.521.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches56
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.7%24.5%–48.8% CI
Draw FT33.9%22.9%–47.0% CI
Away FT30.4%19.9%–43.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.45

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.8%
2+ goals39.3%
3+ goals17.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.8%
Away48.2%