Serie B · 2022/23
2023-04-22 · 13:00
12.3539.9%
X3.0730.6%
23.1829.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Parma
WLLLWWLLDW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Cagliari
DLLDLDDDWD
1W 6D 3L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
0.90
0.80
Conceded
0.90
30%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.80
0.90
2H goals
1.00
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

8.60N=10
For
5.60N=10
3.10
Against
4.60
11.70
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.90
0.80
Goals conceded
0.90
1.80
Total goals
1.80
50%5/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Parma attack

1.00goals per match
Cagliari conceded0.90
Matchup

Cagliari attack

0.90goals per match
Parma conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.60N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
3.10
Corners against
4.60
11.70
Match total
10.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
100%10/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.80N=10
5.10
Match total
5.40
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.50N=10
Committed
15.20N=10
28.20
Match total
27.40

Shots

14.90N=10
Shots
12.70N=10
4.30
On target
3.30
7%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches808
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.9%40.3%+0.4 pp
Draw30.6%31.6%+1.0 pp
Away29.5%28.1%-1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.5%
Over 2.538.9%
Over 3.518.9%
BTTS47.8%

Historical average

1.221.02

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.2%
1-012.1%
0-011.4%
2-19.0%
0-19.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.954.35
Average total9.30

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=808.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.7%
Over 9.543.9%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.524.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches295
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT30.5%25.5%–36.0% CI
Draw FT45.8%40.2%–51.5% CI
Away FT23.7%19.2%–28.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.26

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.8%
2+ goals36.6%
3+ goals13.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.2%
Away42.4%