Serie B · 2022/23
2023-04-22 · 13:00
12.3539.9%
X3.0730.6%
23.1829.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Parma
WLLLWWLLDW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Cagliari
DLLDLDDDWD
1W 6D 3L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
0.90
0.80
Conceded
0.90
30%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
40%
By half
0.90
1H goals
0.80
0.90
2H goals
1.00
70%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
8.60N=10
For
5.60N=10
3.10
Against
4.60
11.70
Total
10.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.90
0.80
Goals conceded
0.90
1.80
Total goals
1.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Parma attack
1.00goals per matchCagliari conceded0.90Matchup
Cagliari attack
0.90goals per matchParma conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
8.60N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
3.10
Corners against
4.60
11.70
Match total
10.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
2.80N=10
5.10
Match total
5.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.50N=10
Committed
15.20N=10
28.20
Match total
27.40
Shots
14.90N=10
Shots
12.70N=10
4.30
On target
3.30
7%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches808
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.9%40.3%+0.4 pp
Draw30.6%31.6%+1.0 pp
Away29.5%28.1%-1.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.567.5%
Over 2.538.9%
Over 3.518.9%
BTTS47.8%
Historical average
1.22–1.02
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.2%
1-012.1%
0-011.4%
2-19.0%
0-19.0%
Comparable corner averages
4.95–4.35
Average total9.30
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=808.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.557.7%
Over 9.543.9%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.524.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches295
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT30.5%25.5%–36.0% CI
Draw FT45.8%40.2%–51.5% CI
Away FT23.7%19.2%–28.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.26
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal68.8%
2+ goals36.6%
3+ goals13.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.2%
Away42.4%