Serie B · 2022/23
2023-04-22 · 13:00
11.8650.5%
X3.3927.7%
24.3121.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Modena
DDDWWDLWDD
3W 6D 1L · 1.50 PPM
Spal
LDWWLLLLLW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.70
0.80
Conceded
1.30
20%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.00
0.90
2H goals
1.00
50%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
4.70N=10
4.10
Against
6.50
9.60
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.70
0.80
Goals conceded
1.30
2.00
Total goals
2.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Modena attack

1.20goals per match
Spal conceded1.30
Matchup

Spal attack

0.70goals per match
Modena conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
4.10
Corners against
6.50
9.60
Match total
11.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.10
Match total
5.50
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.80N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
29.00
Match total
30.20

Shots

12.30N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
3.30
On target
3.20
10%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches510
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.5%51.8%+1.3 pp
Draw27.7%26.9%-0.8 pp
Away21.8%21.4%-0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.524.9%
BTTS52.2%

Historical average

1.570.98

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-012.2%
2-111.6%
1-110.8%
2-010.6%
0-09.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.624.01
Average total9.62

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=510.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.6%
Over 9.547.3%
Over 10.536.1%
Over 11.526.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches159
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT37.7%30.6%–45.5% CI
Draw FT42.8%35.3%–50.5% CI
Away FT19.5%14.1%–26.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.32

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.4%
2+ goals42.1%
3+ goals15.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.0%
Away39.0%