Serie B · 2022/23
2023-04-22 · 13:00
11.8650.5%
X3.3927.7%
24.3121.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Modena
DDDWWDLWDD
3W 6D 1L · 1.50 PPM
Spal
LDWWLLLLLW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
0.70
0.80
Conceded
1.30
20%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.00
0.90
2H goals
1.00
50%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.50N=10
For
4.70N=10
4.10
Against
6.50
9.60
Total
11.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.70
0.80
Goals conceded
1.30
2.00
Total goals
2.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Modena attack
1.20goals per matchSpal conceded1.30Matchup
Spal attack
0.70goals per matchModena conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
4.10
Corners against
6.50
9.60
Match total
11.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.10
Match total
5.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.80N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
29.00
Match total
30.20
Shots
12.30N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
3.30
On target
3.20
10%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches510
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.5%51.8%+1.3 pp
Draw27.7%26.9%-0.8 pp
Away21.8%21.4%-0.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.524.9%
BTTS52.2%
Historical average
1.57–0.98
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-012.2%
2-111.6%
1-110.8%
2-010.6%
0-09.2%
Comparable corner averages
5.62–4.01
Average total9.62
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=510.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.6%
Over 9.547.3%
Over 10.536.1%
Over 11.526.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches159
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT37.7%30.6%–45.5% CI
Draw FT42.8%35.3%–50.5% CI
Away FT19.5%14.1%–26.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.32
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal70.4%
2+ goals42.1%
3+ goals15.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home56.0%
Away39.0%