Serie B · 2022/23
2023-04-22 · 13:00
12.1244.3%
X3.1829.5%
23.5926.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Como
WDLWDLWWWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Ascoli
DLWLDLWWLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
0.90
0.90
Conceded
1.60
30%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.90
1.40
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
4.50N=10
6.00
Against
4.20
10.70
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.90
0.90
Goals conceded
1.60
2.50
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Como attack

1.60goals per match
Ascoli conceded1.60
Matchup

Ascoli attack

0.90goals per match
Como conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.50
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
6.00
Corners against
4.20
10.70
Match total
8.70
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
3.10N=10
4.00
Match total
5.40
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
17.20N=10
25.00
Match total
31.00

Shots

14.70N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
4.40
On target
3.10
11%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches665
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.3%41.5%-2.8 pp
Draw29.5%33.4%+3.8 pp
Away26.2%25.1%-1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.5%
Over 2.539.2%
Over 3.522.1%
BTTS50.4%

Historical average

1.311.03

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.8%
1-012.2%
0-010.8%
2-08.6%
2-18.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.224.26
Average total9.47

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=665.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.3%
Over 9.548.3%
Over 10.535.5%
Over 11.525.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches241
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT34.9%29.1%–41.1% CI
Draw FT44.4%38.3%–50.7% CI
Away FT20.7%16.1%–26.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.22

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.1%
2+ goals37.3%
3+ goals9.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.3%
Away40.2%