Serie B · 2022/23
2023-04-22 · 13:00
14.1322.7%
X3.1729.6%
21.9747.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cittadella
DLLDWWDDLL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Genoa
LLDWWLDDWD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.20
1.40
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.00
1.10
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
4.20N=10
3.50
Against
5.10
8.50
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.20
1.40
Goals conceded
1.10
2.40
Total goals
2.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Cittadella attack

1.00goals per match
Genoa conceded1.10
Matchup

Genoa attack

1.20goals per match
Cittadella conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
3.50
Corners against
5.10
8.50
Match total
9.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.20N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.90
Match total
5.00
100%10/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

15.60N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
32.80
Match total
28.40

Shots

13.40N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
4.00
On target
2.70
7%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches51
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home22.7%19.6%-3.1 pp
Draw29.6%45.1%+15.5 pp
Away47.7%35.3%-12.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.7%
Over 2.539.2%
Over 3.511.8%
BTTS49.0%

Historical average

0.801.20

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-121.6%
0-015.7%
0-311.8%
0-111.8%
1-07.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.224.88
Average total9.10

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=51.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.551.0%
Over 9.541.2%
Over 10.531.4%
Over 11.523.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.8%5.5%–37.6% CI
Draw FT52.6%31.7%–72.7% CI
Away FT31.6%15.4%–54.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.05

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal57.9%
2+ goals31.6%
3+ goals15.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home31.6%
Away47.4%