Serie B · 2022/23
2023-04-22 · 13:00
14.1322.7%
X3.1729.6%
21.9747.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Cittadella
DLLDWWDDLL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Genoa
LLDWWLDDWD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
1.20
1.40
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.00
1.10
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.00N=10
For
4.20N=10
3.50
Against
5.10
8.50
Total
9.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.20
1.40
Goals conceded
1.10
2.40
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Cittadella attack
1.00goals per matchGenoa conceded1.10Matchup
Genoa attack
1.20goals per matchCittadella conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
3.50
Corners against
5.10
8.50
Match total
9.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.20N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.90
Match total
5.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.60N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
32.80
Match total
28.40
Shots
13.40N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
4.00
On target
2.70
7%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches51
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home22.7%19.6%-3.1 pp
Draw29.6%45.1%+15.5 pp
Away47.7%35.3%-12.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.564.7%
Over 2.539.2%
Over 3.511.8%
BTTS49.0%
Historical average
0.80–1.20
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-121.6%
0-015.7%
0-311.8%
0-111.8%
1-07.8%
Comparable corner averages
4.22–4.88
Average total9.10
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=51.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.551.0%
Over 9.541.2%
Over 10.531.4%
Over 11.523.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.8%5.5%–37.6% CI
Draw FT52.6%31.7%–72.7% CI
Away FT31.6%15.4%–54.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.05
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal57.9%
2+ goals31.6%
3+ goals15.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home31.6%
Away47.4%