Serie B · 2022/23
2023-04-21 · 19:30
11.9647.9%
X3.2129.3%
24.1222.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Reggina
DLDLWLWLLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Brescia
DDLLLLDDLD
0W 5D 5L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
0.70
Scored
0.70
1.50
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.00
1H goals
0.80
1.20
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.40N=10
For
3.90N=10
5.50
Against
4.60
10.90
Total
8.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
0.70
1.50
Goals conceded
1.70
2.20
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Reggina attack
0.70goals per matchBrescia conceded1.70Matchup
Brescia attack
0.70goals per matchReggina conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.20
2H goals scored
0.50
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
5.50
Corners against
4.60
10.90
Match total
8.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.60N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.50
Match total
4.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.10N=10
Committed
15.10N=10
27.80
Match total
30.00
Shots
12.90N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
3.90
On target
3.60
5%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches453
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.9%49.7%+1.7 pp
Draw29.3%29.4%+0.1 pp
Away22.8%21.0%-1.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.565.6%
Over 2.542.2%
Over 3.524.1%
BTTS47.5%
Historical average
1.45–0.90
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-015.0%
1-113.2%
0-010.8%
2-19.5%
0-18.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.31–4.06
Average total9.37
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=453.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.557.0%
Over 9.544.6%
Over 10.534.9%
Over 11.526.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches166
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT40.4%33.2%–48.0% CI
Draw FT39.2%32.1%–46.7% CI
Away FT20.5%15.0%–27.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.27
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal70.5%
2+ goals33.7%
3+ goals15.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home53.6%
Away37.3%