Serie B · 2022/23
2023-04-15 · 13:00
12.1843.2%
X3.1529.9%
23.5126.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Venezia
LWWDLDWDDW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Palermo
WDDDWLDDDL
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
1.40
1.10
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.60
1.30
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.40N=10
For
4.00N=10
5.80
Against
5.10
10.20
Total
9.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.40
1.10
Goals conceded
1.50
2.50
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Venezia attack
1.40goals per matchPalermo conceded1.50Matchup
Palermo attack
1.40goals per matchVenezia conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.70
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
5.80
Corners against
5.10
10.20
Match total
9.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.80
Match total
4.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.00N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
24.30
Match total
28.80
Shots
12.60N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
4.00
On target
3.40
11%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches786
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.2%42.9%-0.4 pp
Draw29.9%32.4%+2.5 pp
Away26.9%24.7%-2.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.540.3%
Over 3.520.2%
BTTS50.9%
Historical average
1.33–1.01
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.5%
1-012.7%
2-19.7%
0-09.5%
2-08.4%
Comparable corner averages
5.15–4.32
Average total9.48
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=785.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.558.9%
Over 9.547.8%
Over 10.534.6%
Over 11.525.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches272
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT36.4%30.9%–42.3% CI
Draw FT42.3%36.6%–48.2% CI
Away FT21.3%16.9%–26.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.29
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.4%
2+ goals39.0%
3+ goals11.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home55.1%
Away41.9%