Serie B · 2022/23
2023-04-15 · 13:00
12.1843.2%
X3.1529.9%
23.5126.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Venezia
LWWDLDWDDW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Palermo
WDDDWLDDDL
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.40
1.10
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.60
1.30
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
4.00N=10
5.80
Against
5.10
10.20
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.40
1.10
Goals conceded
1.50
2.50
Total goals
2.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Venezia attack

1.40goals per match
Palermo conceded1.50
Matchup

Palermo attack

1.40goals per match
Venezia conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.70
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
5.80
Corners against
5.10
10.20
Match total
9.10
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.80
Match total
4.90
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.00N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
24.30
Match total
28.80

Shots

12.60N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
4.00
On target
3.40
11%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches786
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.2%42.9%-0.4 pp
Draw29.9%32.4%+2.5 pp
Away26.9%24.7%-2.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.540.3%
Over 3.520.2%
BTTS50.9%

Historical average

1.331.01

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.5%
1-012.7%
2-19.7%
0-09.5%
2-08.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.154.32
Average total9.48

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=785.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.9%
Over 9.547.8%
Over 10.534.6%
Over 11.525.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches272
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT36.4%30.9%–42.3% CI
Draw FT42.3%36.6%–48.2% CI
Away FT21.3%16.9%–26.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.4%
2+ goals39.0%
3+ goals11.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.1%
Away41.9%