Serie B · 2022/23
2023-04-15 · 13:00
12.4238.8%
X3.1030.3%
23.0430.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Spal
LLDLDLDLWD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Brescia
DDDLLLLDDL
0W 5D 5L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.60
1.70
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
30%
80%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.70
1.60
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
3.80N=10
4.40
Against
4.50
9.10
Total
8.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.60
1.70
Goals conceded
1.60
2.90
Total goals
2.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Spal attack

1.20goals per match
Brescia conceded1.60
Matchup

Brescia attack

0.60goals per match
Spal conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.10
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
4.40
Corners against
4.50
9.10
Match total
8.30
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.20N=10
For
2.40N=10
6.50
Match total
4.80
90%9/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

15.50N=10
Committed
14.70N=10
30.40
Match total
29.80

Shots

13.90N=10
Shots
12.80N=10
4.50
On target
3.20
9%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches642
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.8%40.0%+1.2 pp
Draw30.3%31.5%+1.2 pp
Away30.9%28.5%-2.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.6%
Over 2.538.9%
Over 3.519.8%
BTTS47.2%

Historical average

1.201.03

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.1%
1-012.9%
0-012.0%
0-19.5%
2-19.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.154.40
Average total9.55

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=642.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.6%
Over 9.549.1%
Over 10.537.1%
Over 11.526.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches241
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT29.5%24.1%–35.5% CI
Draw FT46.5%40.3%–52.8% CI
Away FT24.1%19.1%–29.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.24

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.0%
2+ goals34.4%
3+ goals14.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home49.8%
Away42.3%