Serie B · 2022/23
2023-04-15 · 13:00
11.5261.9%
X3.8124.7%
27.0313.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Genoa
LWWWDWWWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Perugia
DDLWLWLLLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.10
0.10
Conceded
1.10
20%
Over 2.5
30%
0%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.50
1H goals
1.00
1.10
2H goals
1.20
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.20N=10
For
4.90N=10
2.90
Against
5.70
10.10
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.10
0.10
Goals conceded
1.10
1.60
Total goals
2.20
40%4/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
0%0/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Genoa attack

1.50goals per match
Perugia conceded1.10
Matchup

Perugia attack

1.10goals per match
Genoa conceded0.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.00
1H goals conceded
0.50
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.60
0.10
2H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.20N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
2.90
Corners against
5.70
10.10
Match total
10.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.90
Match total
5.20
70%7/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

14.90N=10
Committed
17.60N=10
28.20
Match total
31.00

Shots

16.20N=10
Shots
12.80N=10
4.80
On target
3.30
9%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches71
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home61.9%74.6%+12.7 pp
Draw24.7%21.1%-3.6 pp
Away13.4%4.2%-9.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.549.3%
Over 3.525.4%
BTTS43.7%

Historical average

1.900.62

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-022.5%
2-114.1%
2-014.1%
2-29.9%
3-09.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.143.38
Average total8.52

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=71.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.553.5%
Over 9.536.6%
Over 10.526.8%
Over 11.514.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT77.3%56.6%–89.9% CI
Draw FT18.2%7.3%–38.5% CI
Away FT4.5%0.8%–21.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals31.8%
3+ goals18.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home77.3%
Away18.2%