Serie B · 2022/23
2023-04-15 · 13:00
11.5261.9%
X3.8124.7%
27.0313.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Genoa
LWWWDWWWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Perugia
DDLWLWLLLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
1.10
0.10
Conceded
1.10
20%
Over 2.5
30%
0%
BTTS
40%
By half
0.50
1H goals
1.00
1.10
2H goals
1.20
60%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
7.20N=10
For
4.90N=10
2.90
Against
5.70
10.10
Total
10.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.10
0.10
Goals conceded
1.10
1.60
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Genoa attack
1.50goals per matchPerugia conceded1.10Matchup
Perugia attack
1.10goals per matchGenoa conceded0.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.00
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.60
0.10
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.20N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
2.90
Corners against
5.70
10.10
Match total
10.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.90
Match total
5.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.90N=10
Committed
17.60N=10
28.20
Match total
31.00
Shots
16.20N=10
Shots
12.80N=10
4.80
On target
3.30
9%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches71
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home61.9%74.6%+12.7 pp
Draw24.7%21.1%-3.6 pp
Away13.4%4.2%-9.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.549.3%
Over 3.525.4%
BTTS43.7%
Historical average
1.90–0.62
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-022.5%
2-114.1%
2-014.1%
2-29.9%
3-09.9%
Comparable corner averages
5.14–3.38
Average total8.52
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=71.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.553.5%
Over 9.536.6%
Over 10.526.8%
Over 11.514.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT77.3%56.6%–89.9% CI
Draw FT18.2%7.3%–38.5% CI
Away FT4.5%0.8%–21.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.36
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals31.8%
3+ goals18.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home77.3%
Away18.2%