Serie B · 2022/23
2023-04-15 · 13:00
12.2641.5%
X3.0131.2%
23.4427.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ascoli
LDDLLWDLLW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Sudtirol
DDLWWWDWDD
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.00
1.20
Conceded
0.60
30%
Over 2.5
10%
30%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.70
1H goals
0.90
1.40
2H goals
0.70
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
3.20N=10
3.00
Against
7.60
8.30
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.00
1.20
Goals conceded
0.60
2.10
Total goals
1.60
30%3/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
10%1/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Ascoli attack

0.90goals per match
Sudtirol conceded0.60
Matchup

Sudtirol attack

1.00goals per match
Ascoli conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.30
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
3.00
Corners against
7.60
8.30
Match total
10.80
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.50
Match total
4.90
90%9/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

16.40N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
31.20
Match total
26.70

Shots

14.10N=10
Shots
8.40N=10
4.00
On target
2.80
6%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches332
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.5%41.9%+0.3 pp
Draw31.2%31.0%-0.2 pp
Away27.3%27.1%-0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.0%
Over 2.538.0%
Over 3.515.1%
BTTS46.1%

Historical average

1.240.95

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.9%
1-013.3%
0-011.4%
2-19.3%
2-09.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.804.08
Average total8.89

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=332.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.549.7%
Over 9.540.4%
Over 10.528.6%
Over 11.520.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches128
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.6%26.0%–42.1% CI
Draw FT46.9%38.4%–55.5% CI
Away FT19.5%13.6%–27.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.24

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.3%
2+ goals35.2%
3+ goals13.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.1%
Away41.4%