Serie B · 2022/23
2023-04-14 · 19:30
13.0530.8%
X3.0231.1%
22.4638.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Modena
LDDDWWDLWD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Parma
DWDLLDWWLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.20
0.90
Conceded
1.40
20%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.50
0.90
2H goals
1.10
50%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
6.30N=10
4.20
Against
3.80
9.80
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.20
0.90
Goals conceded
1.40
2.00
Total goals
2.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Modena attack

1.10goals per match
Parma conceded1.40
Matchup

Parma attack

1.20goals per match
Modena conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.80
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
6.30N=10
4.20
Corners against
3.80
9.80
Match total
10.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.50
Match total
5.00
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

15.80N=10
Committed
14.60N=10
29.90
Match total
27.00

Shots

12.60N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
3.50
On target
4.60
9%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches144
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.8%35.4%+4.6 pp
Draw31.1%34.7%+3.6 pp
Away38.2%29.9%-8.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.538.2%
Over 3.515.3%
BTTS48.6%

Historical average

1.101.05

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.4%
0-011.8%
0-110.4%
1-010.4%
2-19.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.684.58
Average total9.26

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=144.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.6%
Over 9.541.0%
Over 10.529.9%
Over 11.525.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches53
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.3%18.0%–41.6% CI
Draw FT50.9%37.9%–63.9% CI
Away FT20.8%12.0%–33.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.15

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.9%
2+ goals34.0%
3+ goals13.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.9%
Away47.2%