Serie B · 2022/23
2023-04-14 · 19:30
13.0530.8%
X3.0231.1%
22.4638.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Modena
LDDDWWDLWD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Parma
DWDLLDWWLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.20
0.90
Conceded
1.40
20%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.50
0.90
2H goals
1.10
50%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.60N=10
For
6.30N=10
4.20
Against
3.80
9.80
Total
10.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.20
0.90
Goals conceded
1.40
2.00
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Modena attack
1.10goals per matchParma conceded1.40Matchup
Parma attack
1.20goals per matchModena conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.80
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
6.30N=10
4.20
Corners against
3.80
9.80
Match total
10.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.50
Match total
5.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.80N=10
Committed
14.60N=10
29.90
Match total
27.00
Shots
12.60N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
3.50
On target
4.60
9%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches144
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.8%35.4%+4.6 pp
Draw31.1%34.7%+3.6 pp
Away38.2%29.9%-8.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.538.2%
Over 3.515.3%
BTTS48.6%
Historical average
1.10–1.05
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-117.4%
0-011.8%
0-110.4%
1-010.4%
2-19.7%
Comparable corner averages
4.68–4.58
Average total9.26
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=144.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.555.6%
Over 9.541.0%
Over 10.529.9%
Over 11.525.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches53
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.3%18.0%–41.6% CI
Draw FT50.9%37.9%–63.9% CI
Away FT20.8%12.0%–33.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.15
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal67.9%
2+ goals34.0%
3+ goals13.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.9%
Away47.2%