Serie B · 2022/23
2023-04-10 · 14:00
12.2042.6%
X3.2029.3%
23.3428.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Perugia
LWDWDWWDDL
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Modena
WWLWLLWLLL
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
1.40
1.00
Conceded
1.90
50%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.30
1.50
2H goals
2.00
80%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
7.00N=10
For
4.80N=10
5.20
Against
4.60
12.20
Total
9.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.40
1.00
Goals conceded
1.90
2.50
Total goals
3.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Perugia attack
1.50goals per matchModena conceded1.90Matchup
Modena attack
1.40goals per matchPerugia conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.70
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.00N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
5.20
Corners against
4.60
12.20
Match total
9.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.80N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.40
Match total
5.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
17.40N=10
Committed
14.60N=10
31.60
Match total
29.40
Shots
13.90N=10
Shots
13.50N=10
5.70
On target
4.10
11%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches884
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.6%41.1%-1.6 pp
Draw29.3%31.7%+2.4 pp
Away28.1%27.3%-0.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.542.1%
Over 3.522.3%
BTTS51.4%
Historical average
1.32–1.07
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.6%
1-012.4%
2-19.3%
0-09.0%
0-18.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.17–4.28
Average total9.45
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=883.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.557.6%
Over 9.546.7%
Over 10.534.2%
Over 11.525.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches290
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT35.9%30.6%–41.5% CI
Draw FT41.7%36.2%–47.5% CI
Away FT22.4%18.0%–27.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.28
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.4%
2+ goals36.9%
3+ goals12.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home54.1%
Away42.1%