Serie B · 2022/23
2023-04-10 · 14:00
13.0330.9%
X3.0031.2%
22.4737.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cittadella
DDLLDWWDDL
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Parma
LDWDLLDWWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.10
1.30
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.40
1.10
2H goals
1.20
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
7.30N=10
3.50
Against
4.10
8.60
Total
11.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.10
1.30
Goals conceded
1.50
2.30
Total goals
2.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Cittadella attack

1.00goals per match
Parma conceded1.50
Matchup

Parma attack

1.10goals per match
Cittadella conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.70
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
7.30N=10
3.50
Corners against
4.10
8.60
Match total
11.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.10N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.80
Match total
4.80
100%10/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

15.50N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
32.20
Match total
25.70

Shots

14.80N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
4.40
On target
4.30
7%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches167
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.9%34.1%+3.2 pp
Draw31.2%31.1%-0.1 pp
Away37.9%34.7%-3.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.5%
Over 2.540.7%
Over 3.515.0%
BTTS47.9%

Historical average

1.121.09

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.0%
0-111.4%
1-210.8%
1-09.6%
0-09.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.474.60
Average total9.07

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=167.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.552.7%
Over 9.540.7%
Over 10.529.9%
Over 11.521.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches60
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.0%19.9%–42.5% CI
Draw FT40.0%28.6%–52.6% CI
Away FT30.0%19.9%–42.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.32

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.3%
2+ goals36.7%
3+ goals18.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away50.0%