Serie B · 2022/23
2023-04-02 · 15:15
12.1843.0%
X3.1629.7%
23.4427.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Modena
WLDDDWWDLW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Cittadella
WLWLLWDLWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.00
1.00
Conceded
1.40
30%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.10
1.20
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.40
Against
6.00
10.20
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.00
1.00
Goals conceded
1.40
2.60
Total goals
2.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Modena attack

1.60goals per match
Cittadella conceded1.40
Matchup

Cittadella attack

1.00goals per match
Modena conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.40
Corners against
6.00
10.20
Match total
10.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.50
Match total
4.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

15.30N=10
Committed
16.00N=10
30.10
Match total
31.40

Shots

13.00N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
3.80
On target
3.90
12%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches716
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.0%42.0%-1.0 pp
Draw29.7%33.5%+3.8 pp
Away27.3%24.4%-2.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.9%
Over 2.537.7%
Over 3.519.6%
BTTS48.5%

Historical average

1.280.96

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.6%
1-013.0%
0-011.2%
2-09.2%
0-18.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.074.14
Average total9.21

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=715.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.554.5%
Over 9.542.5%
Over 10.530.6%
Over 11.523.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches268
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT34.3%28.9%–40.2% CI
Draw FT46.6%40.8%–52.6% CI
Away FT19.0%14.8%–24.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.26

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.1%
2+ goals39.2%
3+ goals10.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.1%
Away41.0%