Serie B · 2022/23
2023-04-02 · 15:15
12.1843.0%
X3.1629.7%
23.4427.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Modena
WLDDDWWDLW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Cittadella
WLWLLWDLWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
1.00
1.00
Conceded
1.40
30%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.10
1.20
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.80N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.40
Against
6.00
10.20
Total
10.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.00
1.00
Goals conceded
1.40
2.60
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Modena attack
1.60goals per matchCittadella conceded1.40Matchup
Cittadella attack
1.00goals per matchModena conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.40
Corners against
6.00
10.20
Match total
10.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.50
Match total
4.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.30N=10
Committed
16.00N=10
30.10
Match total
31.40
Shots
13.00N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
3.80
On target
3.90
12%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches716
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.0%42.0%-1.0 pp
Draw29.7%33.5%+3.8 pp
Away27.3%24.4%-2.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.567.9%
Over 2.537.7%
Over 3.519.6%
BTTS48.5%
Historical average
1.28–0.96
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.6%
1-013.0%
0-011.2%
2-09.2%
0-18.0%
Comparable corner averages
5.07–4.14
Average total9.21
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=715.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.554.5%
Over 9.542.5%
Over 10.530.6%
Over 11.523.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches268
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT34.3%28.9%–40.2% CI
Draw FT46.6%40.8%–52.6% CI
Away FT19.0%14.8%–24.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.26
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal70.1%
2+ goals39.2%
3+ goals10.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home54.1%
Away41.0%