Serie B · 2022/23
2023-04-01 · 15:15
11.9747.7%
X3.2029.4%
24.1122.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Bari
DDWLWLWDWD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Benevento
WDWDDLLDDL
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
0.90
0.90
Conceded
1.10
50%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.20
1.10
2H goals
0.80
80%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
4.80N=10
For
3.80N=10
5.30
Against
5.30
10.10
Total
9.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.90
0.90
Goals conceded
1.10
2.40
Total goals
2.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Bari attack
1.50goals per matchBenevento conceded1.10Matchup
Benevento attack
0.90goals per matchBari conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
5.30
Corners against
5.30
10.10
Match total
9.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.50N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.20
Match total
6.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.90N=10
Committed
16.00N=10
27.90
Match total
31.10
Shots
12.60N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
3.70
On target
3.10
12%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches427
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.7%48.9%+1.2 pp
Draw29.4%30.2%+0.8 pp
Away22.9%20.8%-2.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.564.9%
Over 2.540.5%
Over 3.522.0%
BTTS46.4%
Historical average
1.40–0.89
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-015.0%
1-113.6%
0-011.7%
2-19.8%
0-18.4%
Comparable corner averages
5.28–4.00
Average total9.28
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=427.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.555.3%
Over 9.543.6%
Over 10.533.7%
Over 11.526.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches155
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT41.3%33.8%–49.2% CI
Draw FT40.6%33.2%–48.5% CI
Away FT18.1%12.8%–24.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.24
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal67.7%
2+ goals32.9%
3+ goals14.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home52.3%
Away34.8%