Serie B · 2022/23
2023-04-01 · 15:15
11.9747.7%
X3.2029.4%
24.1122.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bari
DDWLWLWDWD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Benevento
WDWDDLLDDL
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.90
0.90
Conceded
1.10
50%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.20
1.10
2H goals
0.80
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
3.80N=10
5.30
Against
5.30
10.10
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.90
0.90
Goals conceded
1.10
2.40
Total goals
2.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Bari attack

1.50goals per match
Benevento conceded1.10
Matchup

Benevento attack

0.90goals per match
Bari conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
5.30
Corners against
5.30
10.10
Match total
9.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.20
Match total
6.20
70%7/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

11.90N=10
Committed
16.00N=10
27.90
Match total
31.10

Shots

12.60N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
3.70
On target
3.10
12%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches427
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.7%48.9%+1.2 pp
Draw29.4%30.2%+0.8 pp
Away22.9%20.8%-2.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.9%
Over 2.540.5%
Over 3.522.0%
BTTS46.4%

Historical average

1.400.89

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-015.0%
1-113.6%
0-011.7%
2-19.8%
0-18.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.284.00
Average total9.28

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=427.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.3%
Over 9.543.6%
Over 10.533.7%
Over 11.526.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches155
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT41.3%33.8%–49.2% CI
Draw FT40.6%33.2%–48.5% CI
Away FT18.1%12.8%–24.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.24

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.7%
2+ goals32.9%
3+ goals14.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.3%
Away34.8%