Serie B · 2022/23
2023-04-01 · 13:00
12.1543.7%
X3.1030.3%
23.6126.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ascoli
WLDDLLWDLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Brescia
LDDDLLLLDD
0W 5D 5L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
0.40
1.00
Conceded
1.40
30%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.60
1H goals
0.70
1.10
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
3.70N=10
3.30
Against
4.30
8.70
Total
8.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
0.40
1.00
Goals conceded
1.40
1.70
Total goals
1.80
30%3/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Ascoli attack

0.70goals per match
Brescia conceded1.40
Matchup

Brescia attack

0.40goals per match
Ascoli conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.00
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
3.30
Corners against
4.30
8.70
Match total
8.00
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.30
Match total
4.30
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

16.20N=10
Committed
14.90N=10
30.50
Match total
29.40

Shots

13.20N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
3.50
On target
2.70
5%
Conversion
3%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches388
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.7%45.4%+1.7 pp
Draw30.3%32.2%+1.9 pp
Away26.0%22.4%-3.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.9%
Over 2.534.5%
Over 3.517.3%
BTTS44.1%

Historical average

1.300.85

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.5%
1-015.5%
0-012.1%
2-011.1%
0-17.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.144.11
Average total9.25

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=388.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.554.4%
Over 9.543.6%
Over 10.531.2%
Over 11.523.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches161
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT38.5%31.3%–46.2% CI
Draw FT45.3%37.8%–53.1% CI
Away FT16.1%11.3%–22.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.16

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.8%
2+ goals33.5%
3+ goals8.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.9%
Away36.0%