Serie B · 2022/23
2023-03-19 · 15:15
12.7034.8%
X3.0930.4%
22.6934.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ternana
LDDWLWWDLD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Bari
WLDDWDLWWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.40
1.10
Conceded
0.80
50%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.80
0.70
2H goals
1.40
40%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
2.20N=10
6.40
Against
7.90
11.20
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.40
1.10
Goals conceded
0.80
2.00
Total goals
2.20
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Ternana attack

0.90goals per match
Bari conceded0.80
Matchup

Bari attack

1.40goals per match
Ternana conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.00
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
40%4/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
2.20N=10
6.40
Corners against
7.90
11.20
Match total
10.10
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
2.90N=10
5.20
Match total
5.80
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.50N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
29.70
Match total
26.40

Shots

11.80N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
3.70
On target
3.60
8%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches695
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.8%29.6%-5.1 pp
Draw30.4%34.1%+3.7 pp
Away34.9%36.3%+1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.542.2%
Over 3.519.3%
BTTS50.6%

Historical average

1.101.20

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.7%
0-111.5%
0-011.4%
2-18.8%
1-28.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.964.84
Average total9.79

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=694.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.6%
Over 9.552.0%
Over 10.538.3%
Over 11.528.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches246
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT22.0%17.2%–27.5% CI
Draw FT46.7%40.6%–53.0% CI
Away FT31.3%25.8%–37.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.18

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.9%
2+ goals35.0%
3+ goals12.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.2%
Away50.8%