Serie B · 2022/23
2023-03-18 · 13:00
12.5636.7%
X2.9332.1%
23.0131.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cittadella
DDDLLDWWDD
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM
Perugia
LDDLWLWLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
0.90
1.10
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.10
0.90
2H goals
1.00
50%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
4.80N=10
3.40
Against
5.50
8.50
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.90
1.10
Goals conceded
1.20
2.10
Total goals
2.10
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Cittadella attack

1.00goals per match
Perugia conceded1.20
Matchup

Perugia attack

0.90goals per match
Cittadella conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
3.40
Corners against
5.50
8.50
Match total
10.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.40N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.90
Match total
4.90
100%10/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

16.40N=10
Committed
16.60N=10
32.40
Match total
29.10

Shots

14.60N=10
Shots
13.30N=10
4.00
On target
3.00
7%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches285
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.7%32.6%-4.1 pp
Draw32.1%35.4%+3.4 pp
Away31.2%31.9%+0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.5%
Over 2.537.5%
Over 3.516.1%
BTTS48.4%

Historical average

1.051.05

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.4%
0-013.7%
1-011.9%
0-110.9%
1-29.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.624.29
Average total8.91

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=285.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.553.7%
Over 9.542.5%
Over 10.533.0%
Over 11.519.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches105
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT24.8%17.5%–33.8% CI
Draw FT46.7%37.4%–56.2% CI
Away FT28.6%20.8%–37.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.03

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal62.9%
2+ goals28.6%
3+ goals10.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.0%
Away40.0%