Serie B · 2022/23
2023-03-18 · 13:00
14.3721.5%
X3.1430.0%
21.9448.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brescia
DWLLDLLLLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Genoa
WWLLDWWLDD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
1.10
1.40
Conceded
1.10
10%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.20
1.10
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
4.90N=10
4.70
Against
4.40
9.90
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
1.10
1.40
Goals conceded
1.10
2.00
Total goals
2.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Brescia attack

0.60goals per match
Genoa conceded1.10
Matchup

Genoa attack

1.10goals per match
Brescia conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
4.70
Corners against
4.40
9.90
Match total
9.30
100%10/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.30
Match total
5.10
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

15.70N=10
Committed
14.60N=10
29.20
Match total
29.50

Shots

10.00N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
3.60
On target
3.60
6%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches30
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.5%20.0%-1.5 pp
Draw30.0%46.7%+16.7 pp
Away48.5%33.3%-15.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.533.3%
Over 3.56.7%
BTTS46.7%

Historical average

0.771.27

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-130.0%
0-316.7%
1-010.0%
0-010.0%
0-26.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.075.13
Average total9.20

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=30.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.553.3%
Over 9.546.7%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.520.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI
Draw FT46.2%23.2%–70.9% CI
Away FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.54

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.9%
2+ goals53.8%
3+ goals23.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.5%
Away53.8%