Serie B · 2022/23
2023-03-17 · 19:30
12.3739.7%
X3.1330.0%
23.1030.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Palermo
DDWLDWWWDD
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Modena
DWWLWLLWLL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
1.20
0.70
Conceded
1.40
30%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.50
1H goals
1.00
1.20
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.60N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.50
Against
4.20
10.10
Total
8.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.20
0.70
Goals conceded
1.40
1.70
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Palermo attack
1.00goals per matchModena conceded1.40Matchup
Modena attack
1.20goals per matchPalermo conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.50
Corners against
4.20
10.10
Match total
8.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.10
Match total
5.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.10N=10
Committed
15.30N=10
25.10
Match total
30.00
Shots
12.10N=10
Shots
12.70N=10
3.90
On target
3.90
8%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches728
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.7%38.7%-0.9 pp
Draw30.0%31.7%+1.7 pp
Away30.3%29.5%-0.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.568.3%
Over 2.539.7%
Over 3.522.0%
BTTS47.5%
Historical average
1.24–1.09
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.4%
1-012.2%
0-011.0%
0-18.5%
2-17.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.17–4.63
Average total9.80
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=728.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.0%
Over 9.552.6%
Over 10.540.5%
Over 11.528.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches270
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT27.8%22.8%–33.4% CI
Draw FT45.6%39.7%–51.5% CI
Away FT26.7%21.7%–32.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.30
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal70.4%
2+ goals39.6%
3+ goals14.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.0%
Away46.7%