Serie B · 2022/23
2023-03-11 · 15:15
13.0231.1%
X3.1030.3%
22.4338.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bari
DDDWLWLWDW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Frosinone
WWWDWLWWDW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.80
0.90
Conceded
0.60
50%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.30
1.10
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
5.20N=10
5.70
Against
5.20
11.00
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.80
0.90
Goals conceded
0.60
2.40
Total goals
2.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Bari attack

1.50goals per match
Frosinone conceded0.60
Matchup

Frosinone attack

1.80goals per match
Bari conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.10
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
5.70
Corners against
5.20
11.00
Match total
10.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.10
Match total
4.70
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.70N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
28.60
Match total
28.10

Shots

14.20N=10
Shots
14.60N=10
4.30
On target
4.50
11%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches258
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.1%27.9%-3.2 pp
Draw30.3%30.2%-0.1 pp
Away38.6%41.9%+3.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.540.3%
Over 3.525.2%
BTTS49.6%

Historical average

1.071.33

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-113.2%
1-113.2%
0-09.7%
0-28.9%
1-08.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.624.91
Average total9.53

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=258.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.4%
Over 9.552.3%
Over 10.537.6%
Over 11.526.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches76
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT22.4%14.5%–32.9% CI
Draw FT46.1%35.3%–57.2% CI
Away FT31.6%22.2%–42.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.20

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.1%
2+ goals38.2%
3+ goals10.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.8%
Away47.4%