Serie B · 2022/23
2023-03-11 · 15:15
13.0231.1%
X3.1030.3%
22.4338.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Bari
DDDWLWLWDW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Frosinone
WWWDWLWWDW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
1.80
0.90
Conceded
0.60
50%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.30
1.10
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.30N=10
For
5.20N=10
5.70
Against
5.20
11.00
Total
10.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.80
0.90
Goals conceded
0.60
2.40
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Bari attack
1.50goals per matchFrosinone conceded0.60Matchup
Frosinone attack
1.80goals per matchBari conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
1.10
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
5.70
Corners against
5.20
11.00
Match total
10.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.10
Match total
4.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.70N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
28.60
Match total
28.10
Shots
14.20N=10
Shots
14.60N=10
4.30
On target
4.50
11%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches258
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.1%27.9%-3.2 pp
Draw30.3%30.2%-0.1 pp
Away38.6%41.9%+3.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.540.3%
Over 3.525.2%
BTTS49.6%
Historical average
1.07–1.33
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-113.2%
1-113.2%
0-09.7%
0-28.9%
1-08.5%
Comparable corner averages
4.62–4.91
Average total9.53
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=258.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.4%
Over 9.552.3%
Over 10.537.6%
Over 11.526.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches76
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT22.4%14.5%–32.9% CI
Draw FT46.1%35.3%–57.2% CI
Away FT31.6%22.2%–42.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.20
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal67.1%
2+ goals38.2%
3+ goals10.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home40.8%
Away47.4%